Political GuyentistThe hike lands
Kevin Warsh gestures with both hands at a lectern, two American flags behind him.

01 / The Fed

Interest rates went up.
Every voter agreed.

The Fed lifted its target a quarter point on Wednesday to 3.75%-4% — the first increase since July 2023, and the first big move of the Kevin Warsh era. The vote was unanimous: Warsh himself voted for it. Prices are running at 3.4% a year, well above the 2% pace the Fed aims for.

Trump wanted the opposite — rates of "1%, or less" — and aimed past his own appointee: "I'm relying on Kevin, but he's got a very tough board."

September 17, 2026 · Five stories, illustrated

Photograph: PBS NewsHour
The ask against the answer — one interest-rate scale, four sourced marks
0%1%2%3%4%5%3.75%–4% — the new target rangeup from 3.5%–3.75%1% — Trump's demand"should be 1%, or less"2% — The Fed's inflation goalthe dual mandate's price half3.4% — Where prices areAugust CPI — core at 2.4%
  1. The vote

    Unanimous — Warsh himself voted for the increase, seven weeks before the midterm elections.

  2. The market

    Swaps traders had priced a 90% chance of a quarter-point move hours before the meeting ended.

  3. The feud

    "I'm relying on Kevin, but he's got a very tough board," Trump said in North Carolina — aiming past his own appointee.

Prices are running at 3.4% a year — the August reading, unchanged from July — against the 2% pace the Fed aims for. Core prices rose 2.4% over the year. Traders had priced a 90% chance of the move before the meeting ended.

Read the reporting3 sources
The complete story nytimes.comthehill.comthehill.com
Keep scrolling. You set the pace.
02 / OilThe workaround took the hit

The pipeline around Hormuz
took the hit.

Strikes by Yemen's Houthi rebels cut the East-West pipeline — the line that exists to bypass the Strait of Hormuz — and buyers bid up every barrel still moving. WTI settled at $107.02 on Tuesday, Sept. 15, the highest close in the Energy Department's last 30 trading days.

How much of the line's capacity is out, Riyadh has not said — so how much of the six-week move the outage explains is not known. The U.S. Embassy told Americans to reconsider travel to the kingdom.

West Texas Intermediate, daily close — the 30 trading days the $107.02 settle tops
$80$100$77.33Aug. 4Aug. 14Aug. 26Sept. 3$107.02Sept. 15

$107.02 on Tuesday, Sept. 15 — up from $77.33 on Aug. 4, and the highest close in the Energy Department's last 30 trading days. China spent the war selling oil out of its own reserves rather than buying on the world market, which held prices down; pump prices lag crude by two to six weeks. Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration via FRED.

Read the reporting2 sources
The complete story nytimes.comft.com
Two women ride bicycles past heavily damaged brick buildings and piles of rubble in Ukraine.
03 / RussiaTo the president's desk

Congress handed Trump
a 100% tariff.

After more than a year of stalling, the Russia sanctions bill passed the House on Wednesday — renamed for the late Sen. Lindsey Graham, its lead sponsor until his sudden death in July. It lets Trump put tariffs of up to 100% on any country still buying Russian energy: India and China, Moscow's two largest customers.

Photograph: The Guardian
What the Graham bill puts on the president's desk — if he signs
  1. The tariff

    Up to 100% on the goods of any country that keeps buying Russian energy — aimed at India and China, the two largest customers for Moscow's crude.

  2. The mandatory list

    Sanctions that are no longer optional: senior Russian officials, foreign firms helping the defense industry, and the aging “shadow fleet” of tankers moving oil around the price caps.

  3. The signature

    The last step is Trump's desk. He is expected to sign; the tariff authority is then his to use or not use.

214-211the rule vote that got it to the floor — two Democrats saved it
58Democrats crossed Jeffries on final passage

Renamed for Sen. Lindsey Graham, its lead sponsor and key White House negotiator, after his sudden death in July. Blumenthal helped write it; McCaul led it in the House — and fifty-eight Democrats broke with their leader, Hakeem Jeffries, to pass it. “What we’re not for is giving more tariff authority to this president,” Rep. Richard Neal said in the debate. Blumenthal's answer: “If Donald Trump wants to break this law, he will be restrained by the courts” — this time the power comes from Congress.

Read the reporting3 sources
The complete story nytimes.comfoxnews.compolitico.com
A windowless industrial data-center building with rooftop cooling equipment amid warehouses, a city skyline in the distance.
04 / Power billsOn to the Senate

The House told data centers
to pay their own way.

The Ratepayer Protection Act passed 417-3 — the first data-center bill to clear a chamber of Congress, and likely one of the last before the Nov. 3 midterms. It does not itself cap anyone's electric bill.

Photograph: NBC News
417-3 — the first data-center bill to clear a chamber
417for
3against
  1. It does

    Push state utility regulators to weigh making data centers cover the power lines, substations and generation their facilities require — instead of spreading those costs across everyone else's monthly bills.

  2. It doesn't

    Cap anyone's electric bill. And state utility commissions, not Congress, keep the final say over rates either way.

  3. It's next

    The Senate, which has not scheduled a vote. John Thune has said data centers "ought to be able to take care of their own utilities" — not that he'll take this up.

The House energy committee advanced it unanimously on Thursday, Sept. 3 — no member voted against it — and it is likely one of the last bills the House takes up before the Nov. 3 midterms.

Read the reporting2 sources
The complete story foxnews.comaxios.com
Leon Black in sunglasses and a dark suit, walking outdoors in front of a vehicle.
05 / OversightUnanimous consent

Nobody objected.
Leon Black is in contempt.

Black refused to sit for a deposition or turn over documents under two Oversight Committee subpoenas — one for the deposition, one for Epstein-related documents. The contempt referral passed with no member objecting.

Photograph: ABC News
How a contempt referral travels — the next step is not Congress's to take
  1. 01The subpoenas

    Two from the Oversight Committee — one for the deposition Black refused to sit for, one for the Epstein-related documents he refused to turn over.

  2. 02The House

    Held him in contempt by unanimous consent — no member objected, so no roll call was needed.

  3. 03The Justice Department

    Receives the referral and decides on its own whether to bring criminal charges. The House cannot order a prosecution.

Unanimous consent means no member objected — the referral needed no roll call. The Justice Department decides on its own whether to bring criminal charges.

Read the reporting3 sources
The complete story nytimes.compolitico.comthehill.com
You're up to speed · September 17, 2026

Three things to watch.

  1. The signature

    Trump is expected to sign the Graham sanctions bill — then the 100% tariff authority is his to use or not use.

  2. The Senate

    The Ratepayer Act waits on Thune's schedule. The five-year farm bill, out of committee 12-11, likely needs 60 votes on the floor — Republicans hold 53.

  3. The wellhead

    Whether Riyadh says how much of the pipeline is out — pump prices lag crude by two to six weeks, so drivers feel this move weeks after traders did.